Professor Robert Kelly discussed the potential consequences of North Korea having to replace Kim Jong-Un as speculation around his health continues to grow. Prof Kelly stated that in some scenarios the Chinese army could be forced to move into North Korea to secure nuclear materials.
Professor Kelly said: “Kim Jong-Un has not been a particularly good friend to China.
“If they had a succession to someone who was actually more liberal, moderate, more willing to work with South Korea and American Governments, I think the Chinese might actually like that.
“The Chinese Government would like North Korea to be more docile and less difficult.
“I think everybody would like that.
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“China doesn’t want a conflict here, they were concerned that Trump was going to start a conflict in 2017 and 2018.”
Prof Kelly continued: “That said if there is conflict over the succession and North Korea starts to come apart and you get generals fighting each other over turf, that would be a disaster for China.
“This is where you see these scenarios of the Chinese army moving into the north to secure new nuclear materials in case that would slip out of control.
“So my sense is that the Chinese are probably split on this.”
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Kim Jong-Un has not made a public appearance for over two weeks, sparking rumours over his health amidst the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic.
The CNN last week cited two anonymous government sources who suggested Kim had died following a heart operation.
But the South Korean Government and several Pyongyang dissidents have since dismissed reports of the supreme leaders’ death.
The outbreak started in Wuhan, China but has since spread across the globe and turned into a global pandemic.
China has more than 82,000 cases in total.
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The death toll in China is currently higher than 4,500.
Worldwide there have been more than 3,000,000 COVID-19 cases.
The death toll has reached more than 200,000 at the time of writing.
More than 880,000 people have recovered from the coronavirus across the globe.
The United States has the highest amount of COVID-19 cases in the world with more than 985,000 confirmed cases.
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