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President Donald Trump has suffered from a severe deficit in the polls this year, as he tackles the coronavirus pandemic and growing social unrest with little success. His critics accused him of deepening divisions across the country, and his image took a hit following a bout with COVID-19. But he has started to recover as experts suggest the polling chasm between the two candidates will narrow.
According to the latest polls, support for the President has recently surged.
He has spent the last couple of weeks trying to escape from a well of disapproval, his highest since July.
Poll aggregators with FiveThirtyEight found an average of 54.2 percent of people disapproved of the President on October 16.
The same analysts found 56.1 percent of people disapproved of the President back in June.
But just days before the election, his approval has crept up.
FiveThirtyEight notes just 52.8 percent of people disapprove of him now, while 43.9 percent approve of him.
Much of his approval comes from Republicans, a vast majority of whom currently believe the President is doing a good job.
A poll released by Gallup shows 95 percent of Republicans approve of Mr Trump’s progress so far.
Democrats remain wholly unconvinced, however, with just three percent branding Mr Trump a success.
The approval gap which has opened up between the Democrats and Republicans is now at 92 percent, the highest in Gallup’s history.
The company believes the President’s party has given him a recent boost, with many more members now satisfied.
Gallup said while the odds may seem against him, the latest approval metrics seem similar to incumbents who have won a reelection bid in the past.
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They added some of Mr Trump’s ratings sit directly between candidates who have failed and succeeded in winning a second term.
Economic confidence, which has won incumbents the Oval Office in the past, could push him over the line, however.
Gallup said: “National satisfaction and presidential job approval, along with Americans’ economic confidence, have proven to be reliable predictors of election outcomes involving incumbent presidents in the past.
“On satisfaction and job approval, Trump is below the level at which prior incumbents have been reelected, but also above the level at which two prior incumbents lost.”
“On economic confidence, the current ratings measured earlier this month are similar to those in other elections in which incumbents have won a second term.
“The current 28 percent satisfaction ratings sit squarely in between the 22 percent reading from 1992 (when the incumbent lost) and the 33 percent reading from 2012 (when the incumbent won).
“The 2012 reading is the lowest Gallup has measured at the time of an election won by incumbent.
“George W Bush, Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan won reelection in years when satisfaction was 39 percent or higher.”
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