Scottish independence latest polls: Sturgeons Indyref2 dreams uncertain as Scots divided

Sturgeon says it’s right that Scotland should ‘decide future’

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Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, has called for another Scottish independence referendum by the end of 2023. Despite the UK Government’s opposition to a second referendum, Ms Sturgeon has expressed her wish for another referendum to be held after the coronavirus pandemic is over.

A Panelbase poll of 2,003 adults in Scotland for The Sunday Times was conducted between September 6 and 10.

Excluding undecided people, 52 percent were in favour of Scotland remaining part of the UK, and 48 percent wanted independence.

And according to the results, only 26 percent of those surveyed believe that securing another independence referendum should be a priority.

In the same poll, it was revealed that 17 percent favour a second vote within the next 12 months, 53 percent would like a referendum to be held in the next two to five years, and 47 percent do not want a referendum at all in the next few years.

Other recent polls on Scottish independence have found people are largely divided on the issue.

A poll carried out for Sky News by Opinium between September 2 and 8 found support for independence stands at 51 percent among 1,014 people surveyed.

But although 51 percent of Scottish people surveyed approved of independence, only 31 percent said a referendum should be held in the next two years.

A further 15 percent of those surveyed said there should be a vote in the next five years.

But 13 percent said there should be another referendum, but it should not be held in the next five years.

What is clear from recent polling data is that Scottish voters are largely divided on whether or not Scotland should be independent of the UK.

There is also a lack of consensus on exactly when, as well as if, a second independence referendum should be held.

In the run-up to the Holyrood election this May, the SNP heavily campaigned on the premise of holding another independence referendum.

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The SNP secured 64 of the 129 seats and has now entered an alliance with the Greens, who are also pro-independence.

Ms Sturgeon has now secured a pro-independence majority at Holyrood through the alliance, but the UK Government is opposed to approving another referendum.

And it remains unclear how Ms Sturgeon will secure the second referendum if Boris Johnson refuses to grant permission.

Earlier this year, Secretary of State for Scotland, Alister Jack, said support would need to be sustained above 60 percent for another referendum to be held.

He told Politico: “If you consistently saw 60 percent of the population wanting a referendum – not wanting independence but wanting a referendum – and that was sustained over a reasonably long period, then I would acknowledge that there was a desire for a referendum.”

Ms Sturgeon said to Sky News this week she will start to campaign for independence after the coronavirus situation has eased.

She said: “You want to see the Covid situation under control, the pressure on our National Health Service significantly lower than it is now, a sense that we weren’t still in the acute phase of this crisis.

“But also – and I think this is crucial – an overall environment in the country where people are not in their day-to-day lives being asked to, even if not comply with legal restrictions, still limit or restrict their own day-to-day behaviour.

“Ultimately of course it will be a matter of judgement and it’s important that I get that judgement right, because the most serious responsibility on my shoulders is steering the country through the biggest health crisis for a century.”

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