Despite Modest G.O.P. Gains, Democrats Maintain Grasp on Suburbs

A New York Times analysis of suburbs surrounding 25 of the largest U.S. cities shows that in the midterms, Republican gains did not roll back Democratic Trump-era inroads.

In Atlanta’s suburbs, including this neighborhood in Marietta, Ga., a broadly predicted red wave in the midterms failed to materialize. Credit…Dustin Chambers for The New York Times

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By Trip Gabriel and Ruth Igielnik

MARIETTA, Ga. — Suburban voters famously rejected Donald J. Trump twice, first by handing Democrats a congressional majority in 2018, then by largely paving the road to the White House for President Biden in 2020.

Heading into this November, a key question was whether suburbanites would remain in the Democratic camp again, or snap back to favor Republicans, delivering the kind of sharp rebuke that presidents have come to expect in their first midterm election.

The answer: Despite a small swing of the pendulum back toward the G.O.P. in 2022, Democrats largely held onto their gains among suburban voters, particularly in battleground states.

How the suburban vote shifted between elections

Democrats made big gains in the suburbs between 2016 and 2020. Republicans made up some ground in 2022, but in most areas those gains were smaller than the Democratic shift in previous elections.

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